Bulletin of the World Health Organization

Prevalence of tuberculous infection and incidence of tuberculosis; a re-assessment of the Styblo rule

F van Leth, MJ van der Werf, MW Borgdorff

Volume 86, Number 1, January 2008, 20-26

Table 1. Original data as reported by Styblo5

Source Period Disease parameter ARTI (%) Ratio between ARTI (%) and
mortalitya incidencea prevalencea
Netherlands 1921–1928 Mortality 2.7–6.0 19 38
Netherlands 1951–1976 Incidence 0.038–0.4 37
Developing countries 1956–1961 Prevalence 2.0–8.0 40–60 80–120
Alaska 1948–1951 Mortality 25 26 52
India 1961–1968 Prevalence 1.5 53 106
India 1969–1971 Prevalence 4.1 51 102

ARTI, annual risk of tuberculous infection.a per 100 000 population.The bold figures indicate data from source documents used by Styblo; the other figures are the estimates that Styblo derived using his assumptions.