Bulletin of the World Health Organization

Forecasting the global shortage of physicians: an economic- and needs-based approach

Richard M Scheffler, Jenny X Liu, Yohannes Kinfu, Mario R Dal Poz

Volume 86, Number 7, July 2008, 516-523

Table 3. Number of countries with physician shortagesa in 2015

WHO region Needs-based model Demand-based model
African 32 15
Americas 1 3
Eastern Mediterranean 3 2
European 0 10
South-East Asia 3 0
Western Pacific 6 7
World 45 37

a Shortage is defined as having a projected supply of physicians that meets less than 80% of the forecasted demand or need, calculated at estimated means.