Bulletin of the World Health Organization

Scale-up of a decentralized HIV treatment programme in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: does rapid expansion affect patient outcomes?

Portia C Mutevedzi, Richard J Lessells, Tom Heller, Till Bärnighausen, Graham S Cooke & Marie-Louise Newell

Volume 88, Number 8, August 2010, 593-600

Table 2. Outcomes from a 3-year cohort of 3010 patients at 12 months following initiation of antiretroviral therapy in a decentralized HIV treatment programme in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, 2004–2007

Outcome Oct 04–Mar 05
Apr 05–Sep 05
Oct 05–Mar 06
Apr 06–Sep 06
Oct 06–Mar 07
Apr 07–Sep 07
Total
P
% 95% CI % 95% CI % 95% CI % 95% CI % 95% CI % 95% CI % 95% CI
On treatment 79.1 72.3–85.9 90.9 87.2–94.5 85.6 82.6–88.7 86.8 83.9–89.7 83.3 80.4–86.2 80.9 78.4–83.4 84.0 82.6–5.3 0.623
Death 19.4 12.8–26.0 7.9 4.5–11.3 10.4 7.7–13.1 8.0 5.7–10.3 11.5 9.0–13.9 12.0 9.9–14.1 10.9 9.8–12.0 0.015
Lost to follow-up 0.7 0–2.0 0.8 0–2.0 3.6 2.0–5.2 4.2 2.5–5.9 4.0 2.5–5.5 4.5 3.2–5.8 3.7 3.0–4.4 0.034
Transferred out 0.7 0–2.1 0.4 0–1.2 0.4 0–1.0 1.0 0.1–1.8 1.2 0.4–2.1 2.6 1.6–3.6 1.4 1.0–1.8 0.171
Detectable viral load 41.4 28.5–54.2 41.5 32.1–50.9 28.8 23.4–34.1 23.0 18.6–27.3 16.5 13.1–19.8 21.5 18.4–24.5 23.3 21.4–25.1 0.001

CI, confidence interval; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus.