Progress towards Millennium Development Goal 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean: the importance of the choice of indicator for undernutrition
Chessa K Lutter, Camila M Chaparro & Sergio Muñoz
Volume 89, Number 1, January 2011, 22-30
Table 2. Estimated average yearly drop in underweight prevalence, estimated prevalence (1990 and 2015) and target prevalence for achieving Millennium Development Goal 1 in 13 countries of Latin America and the Caribbean, data for 1966–2008
| Country | Drop in prevalence |
95% CI | Prevalence |
Progressb | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated |
Target | |||||
| PP | 1990 | 2015a | ||||
| Bolivia (Plurinational state of) | −0.34 | −0.87 to 0.18 | 10.4 | 1.9 | 5.2 | On track |
| Brazil | −0.41 | −2.25 to 1.42 | 8.7 | 0.0c | 4.0 | On track |
| Colombia | −0.20 | −0.39 to −0.01 | 7.6 | 2.6 | 3.8 | On track |
| Costa Rica | −0.12 | −0.39 to 0.14 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | On track |
| Dominican Republic | −0. 31 | −0.49 to −0.13 | 8.0 | 0.2 | 4.0 | On track |
| El Salvador | −0.42 | −0.58 to −0.25 | 11.1 | 0.8 | 5.6 | On track |
| Guatemala | −0.64 | −0.85 to −0.44 | 25.8 | 9.8 | 12.9 | On track |
| Haiti | −0.50 | −11.72 to 10.72 | 24.2 | 11.7 | 12.1 | On track |
| Honduras | −0.38 | −0.62 to −0.15 | 15.2 | 5.5 | 7.6 | On track |
| Mexico | −0.88 | −5.23 to 3.48 | 16.8 | 0.0c | 8.4 | On track |
| Nicaragua | −0.60 | −1.93 to 0.73 | 14.9 | 0.0c | 7.5 | On track |
| Panama | −0.13 | −0.47 to 0.22 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 3.3 | On track |
| Peru | −0.23 | −0.83 to 0.37 | 8.3 | 2.5 | 4.2 | On track |
CI, confidence interval; PP, percentage points.
a The predicted prevalence in 2015 was estimated by calculating the average annual change (in PP) per year between the first and last survey for each indicator in each country and applying the same rate of decline until 2015.
b Countries were deemed to be on track towards achieving MDG 1 if they were within 2 percentage points of the target prevalence.
c Estimated prevalences that had a predicted negative number in 2015 were set equal to 0.