The effects of medical tourism: Thailand’s experience
Anchana NaRanong & Viroj NaRanong
Volume 89, Number 5, May 2011, 336-344
Table 1. Projected demand for physicians by foreign patientsa in Thailand, 2003–2015
|Year||Foreign patient visits per year (millions)
||Total no of outpatient equivalent visits per year (millions) (3)c||Physician demand by foreigners
|Outpatientsb (1)||Inpatients (2)||Projectiond (4)||Revised projectione (5)|
a Includes all foreigners, not just medical tourists.
b Years 2001–2003, data from Ministry of Commerce survey adjusted upward by 30%; years 2005 and 2007, growth rate assumed to be at 18–20% per year; years 2009 and 2011, growth rate assumed to be at 14–16% per year; years 2013 and 2015, growth rate assumed to be at 10–12% per year.
c (3) = [(1) + 20] × (2).
d Each physician assumed to be able to accept 10 000 to 12 000 foreign outpatient visits per year (40 to 48 patients per day).
e Projection revised by the author with each physician assumed to be able to see a maximum of 16 foreign patients per day. This revised projection was made by adjusting the assumption on physicians’ time spent with each patient, which would triple the demand for physicians: (5) = (4) × (3).
Source: (1) to (4) data from Pachanee & Wibulpolprasert.10