Bulletin of the World Health Organization

A Bayesian network approach to the study of historical epidemiological databases: modelling meningitis outbreaks in the Niger

A Beresniak, E Bertherat, W Perea, G Soga, R Souley, D Dupont & S Hugonnet

Volume 90, Number 6, June 2012, 412-417A

Table 2. Conditional probability table for a meningitis outbreak in the Boboye district of the Niger, 1986–1999

Situation in:
Probability of outbreak in Boboye (%)
Agadez Birni
No outbreak No outbreak 98.8
No outbreak Outbreak 67.1
Outbreak No outbreak 90.0
Outbreak Outbreak 3.8