Effectiveness of a no-sex or safe-sex month in reducing HIV transmission
Benjamin Armbruster & Aaron M Lucas
Volume 90, Number 7, July 2012, 504-512
Table 2. Main results from the models of the base case scenarios for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) transmission in Kenya, South Africa and Swaziland
| Variable | Intervention | Kenya after: |
South Africa after: |
Swaziland after: |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 year | 5 years | 1 year | 5 years | 1 year | 5 years | ||||
| HIV infection prevalence (%) | None | 5.68 | 5.43 | 17.15 | 16.13 | 24.59 | 22.93 | ||
| Test | 5.64 | 5.20 | 17.04 | 15.60 | 24.42 | 22.11 | |||
| Alternative | 5.64 | 5.20 | 17.04 | 15.60 | 24.42 | 22.11 | |||
| New infections (%)a | None | 0.50 | 2.49 | 1.20 | 5.86 | 1.94 | 9.77 | ||
| Test | 0.45 | 2.22 | 1.09 | 5.27 | 1.76 | 8.80 | |||
| Alternative | 0.45 | 2.23 | 1.09 | 5.28 | 1.76 | 8.81 | |||
| Infections averted (%)b | None | 9.44 | 10.75 | 9.28 | 10.08 | 9.18 | 9.96 | ||
| Alternative | 9.21 | 10.54 | 9.00 | 9.87 | 9.04 | 9.86 | |||
a Percentage of initial population.
b Percentage of the new infections seen without any intervention.