Bulletin of the World Health Organization

Potential cardiovascular mortality reductions with stricter food policies in the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

Martin O´Flaherty, Gemma Flores-Mateo, Kelechi Nnoaham, Ffion Lloyd-Williams & Simon Capewell

Volume 90, Number 7, July 2012, 522-531

Table 2. Age-specific falls in deaths from annual coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke potentially attributable to modesta dietary improvements, United Kingdom

Decrease in CHD deaths
 Decrease in stroke deaths
 Decrease in total CVD deaths
Best estimate Min. Max. Best estimate Min. Max. Best estimate Min. Max.
Men
All ages (years) 4800 2000 12 000 1800 900 4000 6600 2900 16 000
25–34 30 0 50 0 0 30 30 0 80
35–44 180 70 450 50 20 90 230 90 540
45–54 440 180 1100 90 60 210 530 240 1310
55–64 770 340 1920 140 60 320 910 400 2240
65–74 990 420 2490 270 140 600 1260 560 3090
75–84 2390 1040 6020 1270 620 2760 3660 1660 8780
< 65 1420 590 3520 280 140 650 1700 730 4170
< 75 2410 1010 6010 550 280 1250 2960 1290 7260
Women
All ages (years) 3500 1500 8700 2400 1000 5500 5900 2500 14 000
25–34 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 0 20
35–44 40 20 100 30 10 80 70 30 180
45–54 90 40 230 70 30 150 160 70 380
55–64 210 100 540 100 40 210 310 140 750
65–74 460 200 1130 210 90 450 670 290 1580
75–84 2680 1150 6690 1970 860 4620 4650 2010 11 310
< 65 340 160 870 200 80 460 540 240 1330
< 75 800 360 2000 410 170 910 1210 530 2910

CVD, cardiovascular disease; min., minimum; max, maximum.

a 1% less energy from saturated fat, 0.5% less energy from trans fat, a decrease in salt intake of 1 g a day and one additional portion of fruit and vegetables daily, adjusted for cumulative effects.