Bulletin of the World Health Organization

Potential cardiovascular mortality reductions with stricter food policies in the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

Martin O´Flaherty, Gemma Flores-Mateo, Kelechi Nnoaham, Ffion Lloyd-Williams & Simon Capewell

Volume 90, Number 7, July 2012, 522-531

Table 3. Age-specific falls in deaths from annual coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke potentially attributable to more substantiala dietary improvements, United Kingdom

Decrease in CHD deaths
 Decrease in stroke deaths
 Decrease in total CVD deaths
Best estimate Min.b Max.b Best estimate Min.b Max.b Best estimate Min.b Max.b
Men
All ages (years) 11 000 4 680 29 000 4 900 2 400 10 300 15 800 7 100 39 300
25–34 50 20 120 30 20 80 80 40 200
35–44 380 160 950 120 50 230 500 210 1 180
45–54 960 420 2 540 230 110 460 1 190 530 3 000
55–64 1 730 750 4 520 370 190 780 2 100 940 5 300
65–74 2 280 990 6 120 740 370 1 560 3 020 1 360 7 680
75–84 5 580 2 340 14 810 3380 1 700 7 150 8 960 4 040 21 960
< 65 3 120 1 350 8 130 750 370 1 550 3 870 1 720 9 680
< 75 5 400 2 340 14 250 1490 740 3 110 6 890 3 080 17 360
Women
All ages (years) 8 000 3 400 21 400 6 000 2 700 14 200 14 100 6 200 35 500
25–34 0 0 40 20 10 50 20 10 90
35–44 90 40 240 90 30 210 180 70 450
45–54 220 90 560 160 80 370 380 170 930
55–64 500 210 1 320 220 90 540 720 300 1 860
65–74 1 060 450 2 750 500 230 1 200 1 560 680 3 950
75–84 6 170 2 630 16 470 5 070 2300 11 810 11 240 4 930 28 280
< 65 810 340 2 160 490 210 1 170 1 300 550 3 330
< 75 1 870 790 4 910 990 440 2 370 2 860 1 230 7 280

CVD, cardiovascular disease; min., minimum; max, maximum.

a 3% less energy from saturated fat, 1% less energy from trans fat, a decrease in salt intake of 3 g per day and 3 additional portions of fruit and vegetables daily, adjusted for cumulative effects.

b From sensitivity analyses.