Trends in HIV Incidence and Prevalence: Natural Course of the Epidemic or Results of Behavioural Change? (1999)
UNAIDS Best Practice Collection
Reference Number: UNAIDS 99.12e
UNAIDS and the Wellcome Trust Centre for the Epidemiology of Infectious Disease organized a workshop to explore the validity and interpretation of observed trends in HIV prevalence and incidence; to develop a better understanding of observed epidemiological patterns; and to generate guidelines for evaluating changes in HIV.
This report focuses on the following objectives:
- To review current evidence for declining HIV prevalence and incidence in selected sites and to explore the reason for the decrease in particular the role of behavioural change
- To agree on principles for surveillance methods for evaluating changes in HIV prevalence
- To agree on a research agenda to develop methods and collect data required to interpret changes in HIV prevalence/incidence