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WHO Foresight: Monitoring emerging technologies and building futures-thinking

Advances in science and technology hold great promise and hope for new and improved ways to address global health and support healthier populations worldwide. They have an undisputed role in working towards WHO’s 13th General Programme of Work to achieve the triple billion targets.

WHO strives to remain abreast of the latest developments in relevant areas of research, science, and technology to proactively identify, anticipate, and prepare for issues that hold great potential for global health.

In 2020, the WHO Science Division established a Global Health Foresight function to assist Member States to engage in building futures-thinking and horizon-scanning into their strategic health planning frameworks so they can both better anticipate and prepare for a changing world and accelerate the gains from emerging technologies to address these changes.

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Emerging innovations

explored in the latest horizon scan

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WHO Science and Technology Foresight for Global Health

What is foresight?

Foresight is the process of systematically surveying developments in science and technology that are likely to lead to the greatest health, social, and economic benefits.

The objective is to understand areas of research and emerging technologies and identify their potential implications and opportunities in order to draw useful insights for strategic planning, policy-making, and preparedness.

Foresight aims to explore and shape the future, to build and use collective intelligence in a structured, systematic, and systemic way to anticipate developments and is guided by the following questions:

• What are the most impactful, plausible, and novel issues in global health and healthcare over the next two decades?

• How do these issues interrelate and how can global health governance respond to scenarios emerging from them?

• What are the potential risks arising from these developments?

Emerging technologies may both offer great health opportunities but also pose significant challenges.

The WHO Global Health Foresight function will provide ongoing monitoring of emerging technologies to understand potential risks and proactively consider preventative and mitigating actions.

Capacity building

One of the goals of the WHO Global Foresight function is to strengthen capabilities for the early identification of trends or advances in science and technology that could have notable impacts on public health. Here are some resources, developed by WHO Global Health Foresight, that offer training and guidance for integration of Foresight approaches into practice.

Foresight approaches in global public health: A practical guide for WHO staff

The document provides guidance to all WHO colleagues who plan and manage technical and operational functions. Setting out systematic approaches for proactive engagement with the opportunities and challenges presented by emerging changes, new technologies and trends in our working environment.

 

 

Foresight approaches in global public health: Training course

The course "Foresight Approaches in Global Public Health" provides an overview of various methods and tools that can be used to understand emerging trends and changes with a futuristic lens and to explore their potential impacts on global public health. Foresight creates space for thinking about new opportunities and possibilities, taking a longer-term perspective, and articulating current needs and priority actions that can be taken to shape the preferred future scenario.

Latest horizon scan – Full report

2023 emerging technologies and scientific innovations: a global public health perspective
This publication presents the findings of a global horizon scan of innovations in science and technology that could help solve global health challenges....

Latest horizon scan – Infographic preview

This infographic represents a preview of the findings of a global horizon scan of innovations in science and technology that could help solve global health...

Publications

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Imagining futures of 3D bioprinting

This report presents the outcomes of a foresight project led by the Emerging Technologies, Research Prioritisation and Support unit and the Blood and...

Foresight approaches in global public health: a practical guide for WHO staff

The document provides guidance to all WHO colleagues who plan and manage technical and operational functions, setting out systematic approaches for proactive...

Emerging trends and technologies: a horizon scan for global public health

This publication presents the findings of a global horizon scan, conducted by a group of international experts, on emerging technologies and trends relevant...

Emerging technologies and dual-use concerns: a horizon scan for global public health

This publication presents the findings of an international horizon scan on dual-use research of concern (DURC) in the life sciences. Horizon scans have...

Frequently Asked Questions

What is foresight?

Foresight is a systematic, participatory, multi-disciplinary approach to exploring trends, emerging changes, systemic impacts and mid- to long-term alternative futures that might evolve from those changes.

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What is futures study?

Futures study is a field of study for methodical exploration of what the future might be like and people’s conceptions and images of the future, especially preferred futures.

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What is horizon scanning?

Horizon scanning encompasses a set of systematic methods for monitoring evolving change by collecting data on trends and identifying weak signals of change that may impact futures.

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What is Delphi?

Delphi is an anonymous survey method with iterative structured feedback for pooling expert opinion on potential future events and their comparative probabilities.

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What is dual-use research?

Dual-use research refers to research conducted for peaceful and beneficial purposes that has the potential to produce knowledge, information, methods, products or technologies that could also be intentionally misused to endanger the health of humans, nonhuman animals, plants and agriculture, and the environment. In the context of the WHO Global guidance framework for the responsible use of the life sciences: mitigating biorisks and governing dual-use research, it refers to work in the life sciences, but the principles are also applicable to other scientific fields.

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What is dual-use research of concern?

Dual-use research of concern (DURC) describes research that is conducted for peaceful and beneficial purposes but could easily be misapplied to do harm with no, or only minor, modification. This term has generally been used for research in the life sciences. DURC encompasses everything from information to specific products that have the potential to create negative consequences for health of humans, nonhuman animals, plants and agriculture, and the environment.

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