The Global Health Observatory
Explore a world of health data
The Global Health Observatory
Explore a world of health data
Modelled estimates: Where complete country-reported data are unavailable, WHO may produce a country-calibrated estimate using available programme data, epidemiological evidence, demographic data and other relevant inputs. The modelled estimate is intended to provide a coherent value for the specified reference year and may not equal a value reported directly by the country.
HCV model structure: the HCV model employs a Markov/semi-dynamic natural history framework that follows people with viraemic infection across stages of liver disease, by age and sex, over time using disease progression and mortality (all-cause and liver-related) rates. It incorporates inputs from demographic profiles, HCV diagnosis and treatment initiation schedules, and subsequent cure (sustained virological response, SVR).
This dataset contains a combination of country-reported data and WHO-supported modelled estimates. Values may differ because they are derived from different data sources, population coverage, reference years and methodologies. Country-reported data are intended primarily for national programme monitoring, whereas modelled estimates are intended to support standardized comparisons across countries and over time. Direct comparisons between country-reported and modelled values, or between countries represented by different observation types, should therefore be made with caution. Differences between WHO estimates and official national figures should not necessarily be interpreted as errors but may reflect methodological and data-source differences.