The Global Health Observatory
Explore a world of health data
The Global Health Observatory
Explore a world of health data
HBV model structure (PRoGReSs model): the HBV model uses a dynamic mathematical framework that estimates annual HBV prevalence and incidence by stage of liver disease, age and sex using disease progression and mortality (all-cause and liver-related) rates. The model integrates demographic profiles, vaccination coverage (including timely birth dose and three-dose infant series), prevention measures such as hepatitis B immune globulin (HBIG) and maternal antiviral prophylaxis, HBV diagnosis and treatment schedules, and established HBV epidemiological parameters. Perinatal, early childhood and horizontal transmission are modelled using age-specific hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) prevalence together with available prevention-coverage data. This allows the model to reflect both historical and current programme performance.
This dataset contains a combination of country-reported data and WHO-supported modelled estimates. Values may differ because they are derived from different data sources, population coverage, reference years and methodologies. Country-reported data are intended primarily for national programme monitoring, whereas modelled estimates are intended to support standardized comparisons across countries and over time. Direct comparisons between country-reported and modelled values, or between countries represented by different observation types, should therefore be made with caution. Differences between WHO estimates and official national figures should not necessarily be interpreted as errors but may reflect methodological and data-source differences.