Inside this issue
Highlighted signals and events
During epidemiological week 29 (13 July to 19 July 2026), WHO Public Health Intelligence (PHI) teams conducted digital event‑based surveillance (DEBS) to support the early detection and assessment of potential public health threats. During the reporting period, approximately 701,000 raw signals were scanned and triangulated through DEBS. From this large pool of signals, 26 signals and/or events met assessment thresholds and underwent further analysis and categorization. Of the 26 categorized signals, 17 represented unique signals. 17 signals and/or events were escalated for operational attention.
In the reporting week, nine new events were verified through PHI activities. One Disease Outbreak News (DON) was published during this reporting week. A summary of identified raw signals, assessed signals, and published outputs is presented in the tables below.
| Screened signals1 | Signals categorized2 | Unique signals3 | Signals escalated4 |
| 701 000 | 26 | 17 | 17 |
1 Signals screened: Total volume of raw signals reviewed from across multiple sources during the reporting period.
2 Signals categorized: Number of signals categorized for further detailed WHO assessment and actions during the reporting period.
3 Unique signals: Count of distinct signals after removing duplicate or repeated entries from different sources within the same epidemiological week.
4 Signals escalated: Subset of categorized signals that triggered escalation actions.
| Region | Hazard |
| Africa | • Lassa fever • Cholera • Not yet diagnosed disease |
| Americas | • Cyclospora • Cholera •Leishmaniasis • Yellow fever • Mpox • Oropouche virus disease |
| Eastern Mediterranean | • Crimean-Congo Haemorrhagic Fever |
| Europe | • Malaria |
| South-East Asia | • Measles • Chandipura virus •Floods |
| Western Pacific | • Botulism • Influenza due to identified avian or animal Influenza virus • Japanese encephalitis • Zika virus disease |
5 The absence of listed signals indicates that no publicly available signals were identified during the reporting period and does not imply absence of signal activity overall.
| Disease Outbreak News (1) | |
| • | Ebola disease caused by Bundibugyo virus, Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda |
Dengue Global Update
Data as of end of June 2026
Dengue virus is transmitted mainly through Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus mosquitoes, which thrive in tropical and subtropical urban areas. Key drivers of dengue transmission include rapid urbanization and climate change, both of which are resulting in an increase in permissive environments for mosquitoes, as well as expanded global travel and trade, moving the virus, mosquitoes and infected humans across borders. Circulation of multiple dengue serotypes also raises the risk of severe disease due to secondary infections with a different serotype.
The World Health Organization (WHO) has been monitoring dengue incidence since 1954, with Member States reporting cases and deaths to WHO on an annual basis. In response to the changes in the abovementioned drivers of transmission, and the need to better understand changes in intra-annual trends and seasonality patterns, WHO established an almost real-time global surveillance system for dengue in 2024. Currently, this includes monthly data from 185 countries, territories and areas, presented in the global dashboard. This tool also brings together other relevant information for interpreting the global situation such as genomic data available through GenBank, modelled estimates of risk and visualizations of seasonality patterns.
WHO surveillance data showed that dengue reached its highest recorded levels in history globally in 2024, when over 14.2 million dengue cases were recorded, including over 7.5 million confirmed cases, over 52 000 severe cases, and more than 10 000 deaths. The previous highest incidence year was 2023, when 6.5 million cases and 7500 deaths were recorded (Figure 2). To date in 2026, case numbers indicate cumulative dengue case totals of smaller magnitude than 2025 (Figure 3).

Between January and June 2026, 1.6 million cases and over 700 deaths have been reported from 89 countries, territories and areas, with the majority (81%) originating from the Region of the Americas, where more than 1.3 million cases were recorded (Table 1, Figure 4). However, as surveillance systems outside this region remain at varying stages of development, cross-regional comparisons should be interpreted with caution. Seasonality also differs by region: the African, Eastern Mediterranean, South-East Asian, and Western Pacific regions typically experience their peak season in the latter half of the year and have therefore not yet reported their peak case numbers for 2026 (Figure 5).
| WHO region | Cases | Confirmed cases | Deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| African Region | 35 740 | 5443 | 52 |
| Eastern Mediterranean Region | 16 833 | 3965 | 0 |
| European Region | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Region of the Americas | 1 327 434 | 381 910 | 367 |
| South-East Asia Region | 84 725 | 50 753 | 124 |
| Western Pacific Region | 120 436 | 58 357 | 205 |
Comparing reported cases from January to June across 2024–2026, all regions recorded their highest case numbers in 2024, with the exception of the European and Western Pacific Regions. However, this exception reflects surveillance changes rather than changes in disease incidence. Indonesia was reassigned to the WHO Western Pacific Region under resolution WHA78.25 (2025), effective 27 May 2025, whereby all data from Indonesia have been recorded under the Western Pacific Region from January 2025 onwards. When the approximately 170,000 cases reported by Indonesia in 2025 are excluded, the Western Pacific Region also recorded its highest case numbers in 2024.

At the country level, Brazil has reported the highest number of cases so far in 2026, consistent with previous years and reflecting its large population relative to other countries in the region. It has reported over 1 million cases, of which 276 304 are confirmed (Table 2), followed by Indonesia (58 357) and Colombia (54 438). When expressed as incidence, Cook Islands report the highest rate, with 849 cases equivalent to approximately 5000 cases per 100 000 population, followed by Guyana (approximately 4200 per 100 000) and Brazil (500 per 100 000). Case definitions and ascertainment vary substantially across countries, as detailed on the global dashboard, and these data should be interpreted accordingly.

| Country | Cases | Cases per 100k | Confirmed cases | Severe cases | Deaths |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil | 1,064,958 | 498.6 | 276,304 | 519 | 246 |
| Indonesia | 58,357 | 21.3 | 58,357 | - | 152 |
| Colombia | 54,438 | 101.9 | 37,909 | 561 | 37 |
| Bolivia (Plurinational State of) | 50,778 | 403.6 | 562 | 443 | 1 |
| Guyana | 35,768 | 4,283.6 | 12,154 | 418 | 0 |
| Sri Lanka | 33,872 | 155.6 | - | - | 17 |
| Malaysia | 33,697 | 100.3 | - | - | 24 |
| Peru | 33,207 | 96.0 | 24,901 | 143 | 35 |
| Mexico | 29,977 | 22.5 | 2,847 | 113 | 4 |
| India | 22,938 | 1.6 | 22,938 | - | 31 |
While at a global level, 2026 is reporting relatively few cases compared with the 2024 epidemic, some countries are experiencing large outbreaks and the largest across the three-year interval. Between January and June 2026, 18 countries recorded higher cumulative totals than the same interval in 2024. These include 6 countries in the African Region, 5 in the Western Pacific Region, 3 in the Region of the Americas, 2 in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, and 2 in the South-East Asia Region. Countries reporting the largest number of cases in 2026 relative to previous years include Cambodia, Kenya and Iran (Islamic Republic of). For more information, please refer to the WHO global surveillance dashboard: https://worldhealthorg.shinyapps.io/dengue_global/
WHO supports countries for dengue prevention and control through the implementation of the Global Arbovirus Initiative and focusing on:
- Preventive Measures: during the low mosquito activity season it is essential to strengthen preventive actions, such as vector surveillance, larval source management and other vector control measures, public education, community engagement and sanitation efforts. All of these elements are intended to keep the mosquito population as low as possible for as long as possible, delaying any increase in virus transmission and dengue cases in the process.
- Early Detection and Response: By ensuring case surveillance is maintained through the health sector, even in the low transmission season, countries can detect cases early, follow trends, and respond quickly to any increase in cases, preventing outbreaks before they start.
- Capacity building: Continuous/ongoing training of health professionals, enhancement of diagnostic, clinical management, surveillance, vector control and RCCE capacities, and development of response plans, ensures readiness for high transmission periods to reduce dengue associated mortality.
- Community Engagement: Sustained outreach and awareness campaigns help communities remain vigilant about preventive practices, such as removing stagnant water, even when case incidence is low.
- Climate and Environmental Changes: With unpredictable weather events due to climate changes, dengue transmission patterns are shifting, and outbreaks can occur outside what are the typical high transmission seasons. Year-round support helps countries stay prepared for these changes.
- Resource Optimization: activities conducted during low transmission periods are generally less resource-intensive than emergency responses. By supporting countries year-round, investments are used more effectively, reducing the need for costly emergency interventions once the epidemic curve has started growing.
Summary of the 41st Meeting of the International Task Force for Disease Eradication: Elimination of Trachoma as a Public Health Problem
The 41st meeting of the International Task Force for Disease Eradication (ITFDE) was convened at The Carter Center, Atlanta GA, USA April 21-22, 2026, to discuss the elimination of trachoma as a public health problem. The ITFDE is an international body hosted by The Carter Center, comprised of experts in the fields of infectious and neglected tropical diseases (NTDs). The ITFDE previously reviewed trachoma in 1993, 2005, 2010, and 2016. Trachoma was further reviewed in 2023 as part of a meeting on climate change and health. This report summarizes the 2026 meeting, which focused on global progress and validation successes, remaining challenges and insecurity considerations, strategies to address those challenges, and recommendations for the global trachoma program.
Background
Trachoma is an NTD and the leading infectious cause of blindness worldwide. It is caused by repeated infection with the bacterium Chlamydia trachomatis (Ct) and is closely linked to poverty, poor sanitation, limited access to clean water, and weak health systems. The disease is transmitted through person-to-person contact via fingers, fomites (objects or materials that carry infection) or eye-seeking flies that have been in contact with the ocular and nasal discharge of an infected individual.1 C. trachomatis infection is most often found in young children and is associated with clinical signs of active trachoma: trachomatous inflammation—follicular (TF) and trachomatous inflammation—intense (TI). Repeated infection leads to scarring of the conjunctivae, eventually resulting in the eyelid and eyelashes turning inward (entropion) in some individuals causing trachomatous trichiasis (TT). This causes pain, corneal opacity, and eventually visual impairment and blindness if untreated.2
In 1998 the World Health Assembly (WHA) adopted resolution WHA51.11, calling for the elimination of trachoma as a public health problem (EPHP) by 2020. After EPHP was not achieved by 2020, the WHA endorsed the 2021-2030 NTD road map, setting 2030 as the new target date. The elimination criteria for trachoma EPHP are defined as: (i) a prevalence of TT “unknown to the health system” of <0.2% among people aged ≥ 15 years, in each formerly endemic district and (ii) a prevalence of TF <5% among children aged 1-9 years sustained for more than two years without mass antibiotic drug administration (MDA) in each formerly endemic district, and (iii) the existence of a system able to identify and manage incident TT cases, using defined strategies, with evidence of appropriate financial resources to implement those strategies.3
SAFE strategy
WHO developed an integrated framework for treatment and prevention of trachoma called the SAFE strategy. The strategy combines four components: Surgery (S) to correct TT, antibiotics (A) to clear infection and reduce community transmission, and Facial cleanliness (F) and Environmental improvement (E) to address underlying conditions associated with poverty, particularly limited access to water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH).
TT surgery repositions the lid margin to correct entropion. Cases requiring surgery are often detected through public health approaches such as case searches and surgical campaigns. Surgeries are delivered primarily by integrated eye care workers or TT surgeons, mostly general nurses trained in effective TT surgery techniques (bilamellar tarsal rotation [BLTR] or posterior lamellar tarsal rotation [PLTR]). From 2014-2024, more than 1.5 million TT surgeries were performed worldwide, the majority in Ethiopia.
MDA of azithromycin remains a significant factor in reducing the global trachoma burden. Since 1999, the International Trachoma Initiative (ITI) has managed Pfizer's donation of over 1.15 billion doses of azithromycin to 41 countries, a global health contribution valued at approximately $27.8 billion and counting.
The F and E components of the SAFE strategy encompass behavior-change and infrastructure-related activities, making them more complex and resource-intensive to implement and evaluate.4 Programmatic activities typically focus on improving water access, expanding latrine coverage, reducing fly breeding sites, and promoting behavior change related to facial cleanliness, hygiene, and environmental sanitation.5,6 These interventions require close coordination across sectors and stakeholders beyond health, including water, sanitation, education, community development, and local government.
Evidence supporting the need for SAFE interventions is generated through population-based surveys. These include baseline surveys and trachoma impact surveys (TIS) conducted after one or more years of interventions to gauge whether the S and A components of SAFE should be continued or can be safely stopped. Once elimination thresholds have been reached, trachoma surveillance surveys (TSS) are used to determine whether a TF prevalence <5% has been sustained.
Global progress
The global program has made significant progress toward trachoma EPHP. In 2002, an estimated 1.5 billion people qualified for the A, F, and E components of SAFE,7 and 7.6 million people needed surgery to prevent blindness from TT. As of March 2026, this has dropped to 92 million people living in areas qualifying for A, F, and E for trachoma elimination purposes, a 95% reduction, and only 1.2 million people require surgery, an 85% decrease. Over 80% of the remaining global TT burden is concentrated in just ten countries. Ethiopia continues to bear the highest burden of disease, accounting for 36% of TT cases. In 2024 alone, 87,349 TT surgeries were performed and 44 million people received azithromycin. In 2009, it was noted that 56 countries were endemic for trachoma.8 As of April 2026, 30 countries were validated as having achieved trachoma EPHP. WHO’s African region remains the most trachoma-affected region, with 20 countries still known to require interventions as of April 2025.9
In WHO’s Region of the Americas, there is evidence of trachoma as a public health problem in 4 countries. In several others, efforts are ongoing to determine the trachoma burden.10 The Trachoma Elimination Initiative in the Americas, implemented by trachoma-endemic and trachoma-suspected Member States in collaboration with the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO), with support from the Government of Canada, has contributed to regional progress toward trachoma EPHP. It operates through context-specific technical cooperation in 12 countries, with a strong focus on surveillance and evidence generation through standardized assessments and protocols, supporting countries advancing validation dossiers, and reinforcing the sustainability of achievements, including post-validation surveillance in Mexico. The initiative also promotes integrated delivery models and community engagement, while incorporating equity, gender, and intercultural approaches. Notwithstanding these advances, persistent operational and financial constraints—compounded by difficult geographic access and country-level instability—underscore the need for sustained strategic investment, robust surveillance systems, and adaptive, evidence-informed approaches to consolidate EPHP across the region.
Validation
Validation is the process by which WHO confirms that a country has achieved trachoma EPHP and has the capacity to sustain those gains over time. Under WHO’s standard operating procedures,11 countries are eligible to request validation when all three criteria for EPHP have been met.12 There are three modalities for validation dossier development: working groups led by health ministries, workshops, and consultant-supported processes.13,14 Countries that have submitted a validation dossier have distilled key lessons learned for a successful and streamlined process. Preparing data early is essential. Where data gaps exist, countries should be prepared to conduct additional data collection, generating the required evidence to substantiate trachoma EPHP. Dossier development must also be sufficiently financed through national resources.
Challenges
Persistent and recrudescent trachoma
Despite progress, endgame challenges affect efforts at the last mile and require additional operational research to inform programmatic decisions. In 2021, these challenges were more formally defined. There are populations where elimination thresholds for the TF indicator have not been achieved despite years of intensive interventions. This is termed persistent TF, defined as the epidemiological situation in an evaluation unit with at least two TIS with TF prevalence ≥5%, without the prevalence of TF ever having been below 5%. In other areas, TF has returned above the elimination threshold after stopping interventions based on results of TIS. Known as recrudescent TF, this refers to the epidemiological situation in an evaluation unit with at least one TSS with TF ≥5%.15
Persistent TF has been found in at least 12 countries worldwide, and is especially evident in Ethiopia.16 Specifically, in Amhara there had been signs that TF prevalence was not as responsive to interventions as expected. Data from randomized controlled trials, as well as serial TIS, have demonstrated that TF prevalence in the region dropped initially in response to MDA, but those decreases were slow. Some districts (evaluation units) failed to reach a TF prevalence < 30% after a decade or more of MDA and other interventions.17,18,19 Over the last 10 years the trachoma control program in Amhara has worked to better understand contributors to persistent TF through development and widespread use of two complementary indicators—C. trachomatis infection and serology, as well as MDA coverage surveys, focusing on key populations (infants), and monitoring population genetics and antimicrobial resistance through whole genome sequencing and other techniques.20,21,22,23,24,25 Complementary indicators have become important tools to better understand evaluation units experiencing persistent and recrudescent TF, and are now used in conjunction with TF to make MDA start/stop decisions.
Among districts experiencing recrudescent TF, the Amhara program has demonstrated that many districts with a TF ≥5% at TSS tend to have a TF prevalence between 5-10%, possibly due to sampling variability rather than true return of transmission.26 In two recrudescent districts, a strategy of Wait and Watch allowed the program to opt for additional monitoring with complementary indicators of transmission rather than restart MDA campaigns.27 This strategy may be useful for other districts experiencing recrudescent TF. Addressing persistent and recrudescent TF is necessary to reach trachoma elimination by 2030.
Pediatric TT
Pediatric TT—TT among children under 15 years of age—is rare globally and poorly characterized clinically and within surveillance systems.28,29 However, in 2023-2025, in South Sudan—Jonglei State and the Greater Pibor Administrative Area (GPAA)—over 170 pediatric TT cases were detected during surgical outreach campaigns.30 To further characterize this phenomenon, the trachoma elimination program in South Sudan enrolled children ages 1-14 presenting with suspected TT during two surgical camps in Pibor County, GPAA into a cross-sectional study. Within that study, 32 cases of pediatric TT were confirmed by a surgeon, with children ranging from ages 3 to 14 years. Of these confirmed cases, 94% had major TT (five or more lashes touching the globe), 66% presented with corneal opacity, and 12% had eyelids that could not be everted due to severe entropion. Ongoing work includes serologic testing and photographic grading to characterize patients’ exposure history and disease progression. All 32 pediatric TT cases were detected though self-referral, suggesting a significantly under-documented burden of pediatric TT and highlighting the need for population-level epidemiological studies and case detection in South Sudan. The extensive efforts required to identify, evaluate, and provide surgery for these children demonstrate both the severity of unmet need and the critical importance of scaling up access to specialized, vision-saving trichiasis surgery, usually under general anesthesia, for pediatric patients.
Insecurity
Insecurity across trachoma-endemic countries is an increasing threat to elimination requiring adapted interventions. In certain contexts, whole regions or districts require an adapted approach. In others, special populations require tailored programs to ensure equitable access to trachoma interventions. These populations can include, but are not limited to, refugees, internally displaced persons (IDPs), and indigenous and nomadic populations. Adaptations to programmatic surveys, MDAs, and surgery provide examples of how national programs have implemented these activities in insecure settings or in regions with nomadic populations.31 Many lessons learned by national programs have been documented in the recently published International Coalition for Trachoma Control (ICTC) Special Populations Toolkit.32 Key takeaways include:
- Feasibility: Trachoma surveys, MDA, and TT surgery can be implemented in insecure and challenging contexts when programs adapt approaches to local conditions.
- Preparation: Detailed micro-planning and scenario-based decision making are essential to ensuring programs are ready when access becomes available.
- Localization: Engaging local stakeholders is key to tailoring interventions based on community knowledge, local realities, and trusted relationships.
- Flexibility: Flexible and iterative planning, with clear decision gates and risk mitigation strategies, allows programs to adapt activities to changing security conditions, access constraints, and community needs.
- Time and Money: Activities in insecure settings often take longer and require additional resources for transportation, security, logistics, and staffing.
- People First: The safety and security of staff, volunteers, and communities is the highest priority. Programs should be prepared to suspend activities when there is an unacceptable risk.
Strategies to address challenges
Enhanced interventions
New approaches to the A component of the SAFE strategy may yield more effective results in addressing challenges related to persistent and recrudescent TF. Mathematical models, and lack of other proven interventions, suggest that in the most severely affected locations more frequent than annual MDA might be required.33 Proving biannual MDA is superior to annual MDA after several years has been difficult. Further operational research is needed to ensure robust evaluation of more frequent than annual MDA, including strengthened monitoring of implementation, coverage, and impact. However, biannual MDA reduces infection more rapidly than annual MDA, and quarterly MDA is more effective than annual MDA.34, 35
Recent surveys in Amhara suggest that 10-20 districts may require more frequent than annual MDA to achieve elimination within the next 5 years.36 Through randomized control trials, the program tested biannual treatment and strategies targeting young children, including the Child MDA strategy targeting the whole community followed by a second MDA offered to children 4 weeks later.37,38 The program worked with Ethiopia’s Ministry of Health to start scaling Child MDA treatment in districts with persistent TF.39 While more frequent than annual MDA is a promising approach, and could prove cost-effective in shortening intervention years, questions remain around feasibility, given the insecurity and remote nature of many districts that still have a TF prevalence ≥5%.
Recent randomized control trials have tested new and innovative approaches for the F and E components of SAFE. Both trials, the WASH Upgrades for Health in Amhara (WUHA) trial and the Stronger SAFE trial, were conducted in Ethiopia. The WUHA trial was a cluster-randomized trial conducted in 40 rural communities in Amhara, in populations that previously received 7 years of annual MDA for trachoma.40 The 20 communities randomized to the intervention arm received an integrated WASH intervention with school-based (i.e., primary school hygiene curriculum), community-based (i.e., community water point, home visits from hygiene promotion workers), and household-based (i.e., household wash stations, soap provision, educational hygiene book) components. The 20 control communities received ongoing government services, but no additional hygiene promotion as part of the study. MDA was not performed over the initial 3 years, but both intervention and control communities received 6 rounds of azithromycin MDA over the final 6 years.
Results showed significantly improved hygiene infrastructure and behaviors in the intervention arm, including increased face-washing with soap and latrine use, though behavioral changes were slow and of limited magnitude. C. trachomatis infection among 0–5-year-old children increased in both arms over the initial 3 years without MDA (from approximately 11% to approximately 32% in each arm) and decreased in both arms over the final 6 years of the study with MDA (final prevalence was approximately 3%). The prevalence of C. trachomatis infection among 0–5-year-olds and 6–9-year-olds was not different between the treatment arms in either study period.41 These results suggest that WASH interventions, even when inducing meaningfully changed hygiene behaviors, may have a limited impact on trachoma in hyperendemic settings over the studied timeframe. In these settings, WASH interventions may not be the most cost-effective way to bring about trachoma elimination. Continued antibiotic MDA will likely be needed for trachoma elimination.
The Stronger SAFE trial was an open-label, cluster randomized controlled trial conducted in the trachoma-endemic region of Oromia.42 Sixty-eight clusters, each approximately 90 households, were randomly assigned to (1) standard A plus standard F and E (Standard SAFE; control group), (2) standard A plus enhanced F and E, (3) enhanced A plus standard F and E, or (4) enhanced A plus enhanced F and E (Stronger SAFE group). Standard A consisted of annual, single-dose, azithromycin MDA. Enhanced A included two height-based doses of oral azithromycin (equivalent to 20 mg/kg) given as single doses in two MDA campaigns, 2 weeks apart, annually. Standard F and E involved promotion of latrine construction and facial hygiene, whereas enhanced F and E used additional fly control measures (permethrin-treated headwear and odor-baited traps)5,6 and a household-level, facial hygiene behavior change intervention.13 Interventions were implemented and reinforced over 3 years.
Although there was substantial reduction in C. trachomatis infection and TF in all arms, enhanced A, F, and E (Stronger SAFE) had no additional effect compared with standard of care on reducing the prevalence of conjunctival C. trachomatis infection at 3 years.14 Importantly, double-dose MDA had no additional impact over single-dose MDA. The results of this trial suggest that, in this setting, the Stronger SAFE intervention measures are unlikely to accelerate trachoma elimination. The enhanced intervention increased face washing with soap but had a smaller effect on overall face-washing prevalence. The hygiene behavior change potential will likely remain limited in water-scarce settings without strengthened WASH systems. Although face washing may reduce C. trachomatis on faces, it rarely fully removes C. trachomatis. Even with sizeable behavior change, there remains limited evidence of efficacy of the F component of SAFE.
Together, the results of these trials emphasize the critical need for further research into the interplay between SAFE components. Integrating water insecurity monitoring into programmatic surveillance could help target and evaluate facial cleanliness interventions, alongside strengthening WASH systems. Sustainable elimination might require the optimization of SAFE alongside multi-sectoral collaboration to improve structural determinants including poverty, insecurity, and housing conditions, as well as novel interventions, including C. trachomatis vaccines.
Population-level diagnostics
Reaching the last mile of trachoma elimination requires innovative approaches, such as the incorporation of complementary diagnostic indicators in trachoma surveillance. Decades of research have examined how clinical grading, conjunctival C. trachomatis infection, and more recently, serological responses, relate across transmission settings.43,44 Early studies from Ethiopia,45 Nepal,46 and Tanzania47 demonstrate how these indicators respond differently to MDA. Infection often declines rapidly after treatment while TF and antibody responses persist longer. Building on these findings and additional operational research in diverse settings, a global collaboration of researchers and stakeholders formed to determine whether decision thresholds could be developed for complementary indicators to guide programmatic action. Surveys incorporating complementary indicators can be thought of as diagnostic tests at the population level, with estimated antibody seroconversion rates (SCR) measured via Pgp3 serology or Ct infection prevalence via PCR informing action needed or no action needed decisions among target populations.
To create a decision framework for serology, experts classified 48 evaluation units (n=63,911 children) as action needed or no action needed populations, based on multiple metrics. In models constructed with uninformative prior, the posterior probability that no further action is needed exceeds 90% when SCR ≤1.6 per 100 person-years, while SCR ≥3.8 corresponds to 90% certainty that action is needed. The approach used for serology was extended to PCR using 86 surveys classified by 41 experts, yielding analogous thresholds of ≤0.8% and ≥2.0% PCR prevalence. Limitations with this framework include reliance on expert judgment to classify reference surveys (though a 2025 re-classification showed near-perfect agreement with original 2023 ratings for SCR), use of a non-random convenience sample of available surveys to define likelihood, and the need for judgment in selecting a certainty level (e.g., 90%) at which to set thresholds. The method generalizes to other assays and decision categories (including elimination of transmission), and future work will integrate multiple biomarkers and prospectively validate model predictions through repeated surveys. WHO is working on guidance for programmatic use of these two complimentary indicators.48
Field-deployable diagnostic tools are in development for incorporation into trachoma surveillance. Drugs & Diagnostics for Tropical Diseases is finalizing development of a dipstick test to detect human antibodies specific for Pgp3. The test is based on a prototype elaborated by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), with modifications to improve ease of use and stability upon shipment/storage. The dipsticks are meant for laboratory use, using dried blood spots as a matrix, and should be run in a 96-well plate. Eighty thousand prototypes were delivered in the first quarter of 2026 and validated by CDC. Users in 5 African countries were trained in view of local laboratory evaluations of the tests. Exploratory work is ongoing on a multiplexed bead assay format, to leverage a format already extensively validated at CDC.
Pediatric TT approaches
The discovery of pediatric TT cases at surgical camps likely represents the tip of the iceberg. The findings of the cross-sectional study underscore the substantial work remaining in hard-to-reach areas where consistent SAFE interventions have been limited despite known or suspected high TF prevalence. The control program in South Sudan is working hard to roll out the SAFE strategy throughout Jonglei and GPAA. This may include more frequent than annual MDA in the highest prevalence counties. As population-level TIS are conducted in these areas, special attention should be paid to detecting TT among the youngest participants.
In 2025-2026, the control program in South Sudan, working with Buluk hospital in Juba and other partners, began delivering pediatric TT surgery to children identified in the surgical camps. Though logistically challenging, this approach proved successful in delivering the needed surgeries. Treating patients for pediatric TT requires not only skilled TT surgeons but also trained pediatric anesthesiologists. This additional specialization requirement is a core challenge to meeting the needs of all patient groups. This underscores the need for a health systems approach to strengthening surgery programs as the extent of this challenge is more fully understood in South Sudan and elsewhere.
Recommendations
The ITFDE recognizes the achievements of the global trachoma program and recommends the following actions to address challenges in the final stages of EPHP:
- Optimize MDA strategies in persistent trachoma transmission settings. Consider increasing MDA to 4 times annually in high transmission settings to assess and possibly accelerate progress toward trachoma EPHP to meet the 2030 target.
- Prioritize the urgent need to detect and manage pediatric TT. Ensure systematic identification and referral for appropriate care of pediatric TT within current and future health systems structures, programming, and funding efforts.
- Where pediatric TT has been detected, indicating a high force of infection, MDA should begin as soon as possible. More frequent than annual MDA (4 times per year) should be considered.
- Having observed the benefits of complementary indicator data guiding program decision making, apply both serological and Ct detection indicators to improve transmission assessments and inform focused intervention strategies.
- Continue support to WHO to formalize and finalize guidelines on the use of serological and Ct detection indicators and thresholds for programmatic decision-making.
- Advance diagnostic tool development. Support the development and evaluation of appropriate diagnostic tools with consideration of feasibility, deployability, and appropriate use in different trachoma epidemiological settings.
- Adapt “last mile” intervention strategies. Develop specific innovative and adaptive interventions, specifically delivering TT surgery, MDA and WASH, to enhance effectiveness among hard-to-reach populations and in settings experiencing insecurity.
- Continue supporting countries to develop and evaluate post-validation surveillance methodologies and platforms. Address research gaps. Identify and incorporate research questions related to the last mile of trachoma EPHP into ongoing programmatic activities.
- Reassess the relationship between WASH interventions and trachoma, with specific emphasis on government leadership in WASH strategies.
- Prioritize WASH interventions in at-risk areas, recognizing the central role of government in the required infrastructure development.
- Continue monitoring WASH progress within the WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme (JMP).
- Continue research to understand local transmission dynamics, including the development of more precise WASH indicators and contributors to transmission.
- Promote integrated surveillance opportunities. Leverage serological platforms, integrated surveys, and other disease program data to inform coordinated interventions and improve efficiency.
- Mobilize sustainable national investments. Promote country-led efforts to examine opportunities for domestic resource mobilization.
- Sustain research and development for vaccines. Maintain investment in the development of a vaccine for conjunctival C. trachomatis infection, recognizing its potential role in addressing residual transmission, and the additional benefit towards sexually transmitted chlamydia.
References
- Taylor HR, Burton MH, Haddad D, West S, Wright H. Trachoma. Lancet 2014; 2141–2152. ↩
- Report of the 4th Global Scientific Meeting on Trachoma, Geneva, 27–29 November 2018 (WHO/CDS/NTD/PCT/2019.03). Geneva: World Health Organization; 2019 https://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/325121 ↩
- Report of the 3rd global scientific meeting on trachoma, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore (MA), 19–20 July 2010. World Health Organization, Geneva, 2010. ↩
- World Health Organization. (2026, March 4). Trachoma . Who.int; World Health Organization. https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/trachoma?utm ↩
- Ebert CD, Ngondi J, Emerson PM, et al. Impact of a School Trachoma Program Emphasizing Facial Cleanliness and Environmental Improvement in Oromia, Ethiopia. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. 2024;111(3 Suppl):114–121. ↩
- Stocks ME, Ogden S, Haddad D, Addiss DG, McGuire C, Freeman MC. Effect of Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene on the Prevention of Trachoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. PLoS Medicine. 2014;11(2):e1001605. ↩
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